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Realpoint seeks to disarm S&P CMBS rating blows

 by Reuters
 Jun 15,2009

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NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. credit rating company Realpoint on Thursday said insurers may soon be allowed to use its commercial mortgage bond ratings and preserve capital if rival Standard & Poor's moves to slash its designations.

The National Association of Insurance Commissioners is expected to approve the company as a source of ratings for the commercial mortgage-backed securities held by insurers, who are among the biggest investors in the $700 billion market for debt backed by office, retail and apartment buildings, Realpoint Chief Executive Rob Dobilas told Reuters.

The NAIC move would give insurers more flexibility in choosing ratings that determine their capital levels and avoid forced selling of the assets if S&P adopts more conservative models. Insurers can use the middle rating, if there are three, according to Dobilas.

S&P shocked the the CMBS market last week by advising that its new models, if adopted, would likely prompt ratings cuts on 95 percent of top bonds issued during the peak of the real estate cycle in 2007 and 85 percent of CMBS from 2006. S&P is mulling responses from a formal request for comment.

Some 50 insurers have contacted Horsham, Pennsylvania-based Realpoint over the last few days, saying, "you guys need to get approved" by the NAIC, Dobilas said.

"Realpoint acts as a trump card to any action that S&P takes," he said. "We don't perceive any problem" getting approved by the NAIC, he added.

The NAIC, which represents all of U.S. state and territory insurance regulators, affirmed that Realpoint's application has been received by NAIC's Securities and Valuations Office.

Analysts fear the cuts by S&P would cause a wave of selling by investors, including insurers, who are limited to AAA-rated securities. Downgrades are also seen as a threat to a Federal Reserve program to boost lending in U.S. commercial real estate as the central bank currently requires bonds eligible for the program carry only AAA ratings.

But the shaky U.S. economy is increasingly driving forecasts for commercial property, which will probably get worse before it improves, according to many attendees of a Commercial Mortgage Securities Association conference this week. Commercial property typically lags by a year trends in residential real estate, which is in its worst downturn since the Great Depression.

NAIC approval of Realpoint "could be a short-term capital relief for insurance companies" if S&P cuts ratings, said Scott Buchta, a strategist at Guggenheim Capital Markets in Chicago. "Longer term, should fundamentals in commercial real estate decline further, others may follow S&P."

Realpoint doesn't see "massive" downgrades of top-tier CMBS, Dobilas said.

© Thomson Reuters 2009. All rights reserved.



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Comments (1 posted) 
  • Anonymous Banker asks: Trepp LLC, TALF and JP Morgan Chase Connection... is there a conflict of interest? http://anonymousbanker.com/?p=372 With apologies, I had difficulty getting the links to connect into this comment. Please go to original article for links to supporting documents. I hate the TALF program. It is going to come back to bite each and every one of us .... the taxpayers. First it was designed to get our securitization market flowing again, presumably to unfreeze the credit markets. It is to be a mechanism for the Treasury Department to guarantee, with our tax dollars, toxic loans stripped from the Banks' balance sheets. It is duplicitous and it was designed to be that way. Now, in addition to subprime credit cards, subprime auto loans (FRBNY's words, not mine), student loans, and small business loans, they've tagged on Commerical Mortgages. So I went to the FRBNY's website to read up on the terms and conditions and found that the FRBNY has hired a collateral monitor, a company by the name of Trepp LLC. And I was simply curious to find out if I could find out who really owned Trepp and if it's involvement is as "arms length" as one would expect it to be. Here is an interesting interview by CNBC with Tom Fink, senior vice president of Trepp. I noticed that CNBC never once asked him if there could be any perceived conflict of interest with Trepp accepting this position as "The Feds new Toxic Avenger". So, I pose this question to the blogging universe and to our leaders on the Hill and to President Obama: How many Commercial Mortgages will Chase Bank be allowed to unload through TALF, a government program that has hired as its collateral monitor Trepp LLC whose UK Parent company utilizes, as their stockbroker, a company that is owned 50% by JP Morgan Chase. Does anyone else see this as a conflict of interest? Here's the back up data to this question. Read it and decide for yourself. If you think I'm wrong, I'd love to hear you tell me why you think I'm wrong. About Trepp, LLC Trepp LLC, headquartered in New York City, is an established independent provider of CMBS and commercial real estate information, analytics and technology in the securities and investment management industry. Trepp serves the needs of both the primary and secondary markets by providing one of the largest commercially available trading quality CMBS deal libraries, as well as a suite of products for the CRE derivatives and whole loan markets. Trepp's clients include broker dealers, commercial banks, asset managers, and investors. About PPR PPR, headquartered in Boston, is an established provider of independent global real estate research and portfolio strategy services to the institutional real estate community. PPR provides views on markets in North America, Europe and Asia and offers expertise in real estate markets, real estate portfolio analysis, mortgage risk, and the design of real estate investment strategies. Clients include commercial banks, insurance companies, Wall Street firms, rating agencies, government agencies, pension funds, investment advisors, real estate investment trusts, and private investors. Trepp and PPR are each wholly owned by DMG Information, Inc., the business information division of Daily Mail and General Trust, plc (DMGT). And here's information on the parent company: Daily Mail and General Trust , plc (DMGT) and their "stockbrokers" Stockbrokers JPMorgan Cazenove Ltd 20 Moorgate London EC2 6DA Great Britain http://www.cazenove.com/ Cazenove Group is a private company, registered in Jersey, which holds the 50% interest in J.P. Morgan Cazenove, the joint venture with J.P. Morgan. J.P. Morgan Cazenove is one of the UK's leading investment banks. Jointly owned by J.P. Morgan and Cazenove, it combines innovative and impartial advice with a broad range of capabilities and proven execution skills.
  • (Posted on December 6, 2008, 10:00 pm Anonymous Banker)



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